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Whatever Happens Next, Iraq Won't Be the Same

Marina Ottaway

"The days of Iraq as a unitary country that can be ruled by a powerful government in Baghdad are over," writes Marina Ottaway.

The quick advance of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria fighters through Mosul and Tikrit to positions within 50 miles of Baghdad has brought to the fore the deep divisions in the country and the lack of loyalty most Sunnis and Kurds feel toward Baghdad. Indeed, even if support from the United States and Iran succeeds in shoring up the disintegrating Iraqi army and stopping ISIS's advance, the reality is that the days of Iraq as a unitary country that can be ruled by a powerful government in Baghdad are over.

We do not know yet for sure why the military melted away so quickly, with soldiers deserting their posts and abandoning weapons. Leaks from the Kurdish defense forces, the peshmerga, suggest that Iraqi troops stationed in Mosul were seen as undisciplined and corrupt and that officers from Saddam Hussein's old military had been working on behalf of ISIS.

Read the rest of the article on CNN.com.
 

About the Author

Marina Ottaway

Marina Ottaway

Middle East Fellow;
Former Senior Research Associate and Head of the Middle East Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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Middle East Program

The Wilson Center’s Middle East Program serves as a crucial resource for the policymaking community and beyond, providing analyses and research that helps inform US foreign policymaking, stimulates public debate, and expands knowledge about issues in the wider Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.  Read more