|
The Secret Is the System
by
Bruce Seely
Untitled Document
The United States has settled for a patchwork approach
to infrastructure. To stay ahead in the global economy, it needs to build
adaptable networks like the 1956 Interstate Highway System.
The deaths of 13 people in last summer’s dramatic collapse of the I-35W bridge in Minneapolis
propelled the news media into one of their periodic examinations of the
nation’s infrastructure. State and municipal highway engineers across
the country scurried to inspect suspect bridges, while pundits bemoaned the
state of these key technical systems. But such eruptions of interest and
activity seldom last much longer than the latest disaster bulletin. Mayor
Michael Bloomberg of New York, criticizing his fellow politicians for
letting the nation’s transportation systems fall apart, stated a
simple truth: “Infrastructure isn’t sexy or glamorous, and it
doesn’t make for great headlines, but it is one of the most important
issues facing our country. And make no mistake about it, we have an
infrastructure crisis.”
For more than 25 years, reports and studies have
repeatedly warned about shortcomings in the nation’s networks of
bridges, roads, airports, docks, and rail lines; deficiencies in its
public-transit networks; and potential failures in the water supply,
sewerage, gas, and electric power utilities. A 2005 infrastructure
“report card” by the American Society of Civil Engineers makes
for horrifying reading, documenting the continuing decay in 15 different
forms of infrastructure. The best grade it awarded was a meager C+, for
landfills. It put the price of needed improvements at some $1.6 trillion.
Conservatives have fired back by denying there is a
problem—Crying Wolf was the title of a 1996 study by the Surface
Transportation Policy Project—and touting privatization and
more emphasis on user fees (tolls) to avoid spending tax dollars on
infrastructure.
It is fitting in a way that our debates over
infrastructure have been so long and drawn out. The undertakings themselves
are by definition large, expensive, and protracted. The latest effort to
ensure an adequate water supply for New York City, for example, has already
stretched through the administrations of six mayors. The project was
conceived in 1954, but construction did not begin until 1970, and fiscal
crises halted work several times. The city completed excavation for the
$1.75 billion second phase in 2006, leaving two more stages still to be
done. Work will go on until at least 2020.
Like virtually all undertakings of this kind, New
York’s tunnel is little remarked but essential. It will double the
volume of fresh water reaching the city and allow the inspection and repair
of two older tunnels for the first time since they opened, in 1917 and
1936, respectively. Hurricane Katrina brutally reminded us not only how
vulnerable such complex systems are to natural disasters and terrorism, but
how important they are to our daily lives and the smooth functioning of the
economy. Yet still the bridges collapse.
There is nothing new about our reluctance to spend
money on infrastructure. It is impossible to imagine San Francisco without
its Golden Gate Bridge, but that iconic span was debated for decades before
workers broke ground. It often takes special circumstances to end the
financial and political inertia. That’s what the Great Depression
did, adding demand for job creation and economic stimulus to the existing
arguments and sparking construction of many of the nation’s most
impressive public works, from the Golden Gate to Hoover Dam and the
Tennessee Valley Authority. Many less glamorous jobs got done too:
thousands of railroad grade crossings, parkways, trails in the national
parks. Public-works relief funding from the federal government finally
broke fiscal logjams.
Still, there is something significantly different
about the way we build now. The political and financial environments have
become much more difficult to navigate. Numerous reviews, rapidly rising
costs, and blizzards of litigation are among the well-known symptoms. And there
has been a subtler but very far-reaching change: the decline of
respect for expertise. Americans once accepted with little question the
views of experts such as highway engineers and dam builders at the Army
Corps of Engineers. The experts tended to speak with one voice, and they
enjoyed a reputation as neutral specialists and servants of the general
welfare. Their authority made it easier for the public and Congress to
accept the arguments, costs, and even the dislocations associated with such
projects as the inevitable price of progress.
The decline of trust in
expert judgment has its roots in the 1960s. During that decade, projects
grew in scale and cost, affecting more people in more dramatic ways (see,
for instance, urban renewal). Changing public attitudes toward the
environment, as well as growing skepticism toward big government and
authority generally, also contributed. And, for the first time, experts
themselves disagreed publicly about the merits of big projects.
The construction of nuclear power plants probably
aroused the greatest controversy during the 1960s, but attempts to build
new urban expressways directly touched the lives of more people. For
decades after the inception of the federal highway program in 1916, highway
engineers at the state and federal levels enjoyed a remarkable degree of
public confidence, and that trust translated into unparalleled political
autonomy. Decisions about highway location and priorities stirred political
passions, but to an amazing extent Congress and the public deferred to the
engineers on technical, financial, and other policy options, so long as
they produced a growing network of roads. This faith in expertise reached
its apogee with the authorization of the Interstate Highway System in 1956,
which eliminated annual battles over road-building budgets by creating the
Highway Trust Fund, a revenue source that would be fed by dedicated federal
gasoline taxes. It certainly helped that Americans were unambiguously
enthusiastic about cars—historian John C. Burnham called
the gas levy the only popular tax in American history. Now, highway
engineers assumed, their charge was simply to build a nationwide system of limited-access,
high-speed roads as quickly as possible.
Alas, while the engineers’
full-speed-ahead approach worked well in rural areas, it ran into
increasingly angry public resistance when interstate expressways began to
push into urban neighborhoods, threatening to displace thousands of people
and wipe out entire neighborhoods. The Embarcadero Freeway in San Francisco
(once Interstate 480) became the poster child for troubled urban highway
projects when the city’s Board of Supervisors voted to stop
construction in 1959. The route was withdrawn from the California
interstate map six years later. Protest later stopped road construction in
Philadelphia, Miami, Washington, and other cities.
New laws such as the 1970 National Environmental
Policy Act, which required environmental impact statements and public
hearings for any project using federal funds, drastically altered the
landscape of infrastructure planning and construction. Politicians
responded to the public outcry against urban expressways by throttling back
their enthusiasm for new roads and removing engineers from control of the
nation’s road-building programs. The man who had spearheaded the
fight against Boston’s inner road ring became head of the
Massachusetts Department of Transportation in the early 1970s, while a
journalist assumed control of the Mississippi highway program. At the
federal level, political appointees replaced engineers as the key
policymakers in the Federal Highway Administration.
These changes produced road programs that seemed more
responsive to the wishes of citizens and to environmental considerations.
Mass transit got more money and attention. It now claims about 20
percent of all federal expenditures on transportation, much of it for
operating expenses and subsidies.
Many younger highway engineers adapted to this new
world of alternatives, scrutiny, and review, and considered later
interstate projects, such as the section of Interstate 70 through Glenwood
Canyon in Colorado (completed in 1992), much better designs because of
their sensitivity to environmental and social considerations. But the
engineers did not take well to the fact that money from the Highway Trust
Fund could be “diverted” to the construction of bicycle paths,
sound barriers, or environmental remediation projects. And older engineers
resented the longer planning process and higher costs of the new regime.
Most believed that the interstates could not have been built under the new
rules.
As technical experts were removed from positions of
administrative and policy authority, political figures came to play an
increasingly dominant role in transportation policy decisions. Of course,
politicians had often weighed in when big construction contracts were
awarded and locations of new interchanges were picked, but federal
officials always sought to minimize overt political interference. With
Washington’s blessing, during the 1950s many states adopted rating
systems that relied on “sufficiency formulas” to direct highway
dollars to areas of greatest need, relatively free of political meddling.
By the 1970s and ’80s, these approaches gave way
to a more traditional political calculus. Witness Boston’s $14.8
billion Central Artery/Tunnel Project (the “Big Dig”), the
product of a feat of political logrolling masterminded by Representative
Thomas (Tip) O’Neill, a Boston Democrat who served in the U.S. House
of Representatives as majority leader and later as Speaker of the House.
Members of Congress increasingly used earmarks to direct Highway Trust Fund
money to favored projects in their districts. In the 2005 transportation
bill, the Senate version included more than 6,300 earmarks totaling $24.2
billion of the $244 billion authorized for work between 2005 and 2009.
Often the favored projects meet local needs, but these may not be the most
urgent priorities from a national or systems perspective.
Even as transportation became more politicized, the
tide of public opinion shifted against taxes and government spending, and
against government itself as an authoritative institution capable of
accomplishing public ends. The change affected spending much more in the
states than at the federal level. By the 1990s few politicians anywhere
could effectively advocate higher taxes of any kind. Congress has not
increased the federal levy (18.4 cents per gallon) since 1993, and most
states, with taxes now ranging from 7.5 cents per gallon in Georgia to 32.1
cents in Wisconsin, have been equally reluctant to act. Yet the purchasing
power of those pennies has steadily declined. As a result, Highway Trust
Fund expenditures may exceed current balances sometime between 2010 and
2012, raising the specter of a return to the annual political battles over
highways that were common before 1956.
A report earlier this year by the National Surface
Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission proposes to tackle that
and other challenges of the next five decades by increasing the federal gas
tax by as much as 40 cents over five years. Secretary of Transportation
Mary Peters and two other commission members dissented, but, somewhat
surprisingly, Paul Weyrich, a conservative activist with long involvement
in transportation, broke ranks to join the majority. Responding to the
report, John Engler, a former Republican governor of Michigan who is now
CEO of the National Association of Manufacturers, did not take sides, but
warned that transportation bottlenecks now cost industry nearly $8 billion
annually. The United States, he said, “will soon be facing a
competitive disadvantage if we don’t develop a national plan to
improve the quality of our infrastructure system.”
The commissioners confronted some uncomfortable facts:
Traffic in the United States has nearly doubled since 1980, but highway
capacity is virtually unchanged. (In technical terms,
vehicle-miles traveled are up nearly 100 percent, while
lane-miles are virtually the same.) And the
decades-long trend of two to three percent annual growth in
traffic seems likely to continue unabated.
Most opponents of higher gas taxes find the answer in
alternative financing mechanisms such as public-private partnerships for
roads and other infrastructure. In Dallas
and a few other metropolitan areas, for example, corporations are eager to
pay for the right to build privately operated toll highways that
state governments have not been able or willing to finance. Technologies
such as EZ Pass that make it possible to collect tolls and implement
congestion-pricing fees without disrupting traffic are also part
of the emerging paradigm.
These approaches can play a useful role, but they also
raise fresh questions. If user fees pay for one-shot solutions
for the worst urban and suburban chokepoints, where will the money come
from for lightly traveled roads, especially in rural areas? Will
a public that pays stiff user fees in order to see its traffic snarls eased
support the higher gas taxes needed to build and maintain roads in
distant areas?
This question points straight to a much larger issue:
In order to be fully effective, transportation must be an integrated system, not just a
patchwork of roads, railroads, and ports. Engler is not alone in arguing
that a national plan is needed to keep the United States globally
competitive. Other rationales for infrastructure investment, such as
military preparedness, have occasionally served as rhetorical justification
in Congress, but at bottom, roads have always been seen as a powerful
economic engine. That approach has included a commitment to the development
of a complete national network of roads, under the logic that the entire
country benefits from such a system. For many towns and small cities, new
highways have been the breath of life itself, connecting them to the
regional and national economies. Federal policy was structured so that
densely populated states such as New York helped underwrite highways in
Montana and Wyoming. Federal and state highway engineers ensured that the
growing web of roads had continuity at state borders. The same logic
informed other federal transportation policies, such as subsidies early in
the 20th century for a national aviation network. Yet this
donor-donee structure has come under increasing attack, and
states soon may get back every penny they pay, only one indication of the
eroding support for systems thinking.
Worthy though their goals
might have been, even the systems builders had their blind spots.
They, and the nation generally, rarely viewed their individual efforts as
contributing to a larger transportation whole. Just as we think of solving
each road or bridge problem in isolation, we tend to think of each mode of
transportation—roads, rail, air, water—as
discrete and independent, designed to be operated and in some cases
regulated without regard to the others. This approach reflects a mindset
created in the 19th century, when business owners and the public reacted to
what they saw as the stranglehold railroads had on transportation services
and rates. Anger at the “monopolistic” railroads helped breed
heavy-handed regulation and broad support for government efforts to bolster
rival forms of transportation, from inland waterways to aviation, which
many people saw as a way to check the railroads’ power. The committee
structure of Congress, with a different panel assigned to establish policy
and funding for each technology, reinforced this compartmentalized
approach.
Predictably, the congressional committees backed
regulatory policies that gave this vision meaning. Thus, railroads were
barred from owning coastal or inland waterborne shipping and restricted
from developing truck and bus operations. William W. Atterbury’s
Pennsylvania Railroad and other rail carriers experimented in the 1920s
with trucks and buses to supplement or replace rail operations, especially
on lightly traveled branch lines, but eventually were blocked from
ownership. When the Interstate Commerce Commission, longtime overseer of
the railroads, gained responsibility for regulating buses, trucks, and
inland waterways in 1940, it was required by law to preserve the inherent
advantages of each mode. Long after their supposed monopoly had vanished,
railroads were still the bogeymen. In the 1950s, when they were already
ailing shadows of themselves, the interstate highway program was developed
by the federal government without any consideration of the impact on
railroads. In 1967, Congress united many disparate government agencies in
the field under the umbrella of a new U.S. Department of Transportation,
but that did virtually nothing to advance policy conceptions of
transportation as a whole.
A handful of
innovators have nevertheless managed to pioneer new approaches. In the
1950s Malcolm McLean, a successful trucking operator, launched a company
able to move sealed containers on oceangoing ships and deliver
them to their destinations on trucks or railcars without any intermediate
unloading and reloading of the containers’ contents. The costs were a
fraction of those associated with traditional shipping. McLean succeeded
only because he was able to exploit a loophole in the regulatory system:
Truckers were barred from owning shipping firms, but shippers were
permitted to move truck trailers and containers. So McLean sold his
trucking firm and bought a steamship company, which grew into the container
pioneer Sea-Land Service. Slowly through the 1960s and ’70s
container shipping gained ground, eventually transforming the way all
freight is carried over the oceans.
Not until 1991, with the Intermodal Surface
Transportation Efficiency Act, did the federal government give priority to
a true systems approach to freight movement. The bill allowed the states
more authority to spend federal dollars on efforts to link different
networks, such as the large intermodal terminal in Charlotte, North
Carolina, which serves trucks, trains, and ships (located nearly 200 miles
away, in the port of Wilmington).
But it has proven difficult to change traditional ways
of thinking. The nation’s trucking firms, railroads, and airlines
have not been pioneers. The two exceptions, UPS and FedEx, can be described
as the first and to some extent only intermodal freight companies in the
United States. They do not discriminate between different means of moving
packages and shipments but seek the fastest and most efficient
path—a single parcel may travel by truck, rail, and air
before reaching its destination. UPS sorts 300,000 parcels an hour at one
of its facilities; at the FedEx hub in Memphis, Tennessee, cargo jets often
roar in at 90-second intervals, while packages leave by plane and
truck.
FedEx, UPS, and all the elements that make them work
are only pieces in what is increasingly a global transportation system.
With its “just-in-time” delivery and digitally
guided logistics and supply chains, the global economy rests on the ability
to move containerized freight on amazingly tight and accurate schedules
around the world by a variety of conveyances. America’s railroads are
jammed with containers that start their journeys in China, enter the United
States at Seattle or Los Angeles, move by rail to East Coast ports, and are
loaded onto freighters bound for Europe, where they are carried to final
destinations by trucks and trains.
Now some advocates are pushing for a North American
Super Corridor, with an integrated network of road and rail links built
around the spine of America’s Interstate 35 and running from Mexico
to Canada. It has become a subject of enormous controversy, especially
among opponents of the North American Free Trade Agreement, but it is a
good example of the kind of carefully planned systems we need to consider. Whether you shop at Wal-Mart or
Bloomingdale’s, you can thank the new hyperefficient global
shipping network for a share of the bargains you see. But if U.S. facilities turn out to be
a weak link in global supply chains, business will go elsewhere and the
bargains will evaporate.
The global nature of today’s transportation
structures is a key source of the concern among specialists about the
level of U.S. investment in infrastructure. After running at about three
percent of gross domestic product (GDP) during the 1950s and ’60s,
such spending has averaged less than two percent since 1980. India and
China, meanwhile, devote between five and nine percent of GDP to
infrastructure—roads, power and water treatment plants,
airports. Their investments will pay off well into the future, sometimes in
ways that are hard to anticipate.
In the United States, the startling success of upstart
online retailers such as Amazon.com during the 1990s was linked to the rise
of the nation’s fiberoptic network, an important new form of
infrastructure. But equal credit belonged to the Interstate Highway System,
which, in combination with the other pieces of the nation’s road
network, had the enormous reach and capacity needed to allow the
miraculously quick delivery of millions of parcels. None of the people who
conceived the interstate network in the 1930s and ’40s envisioned
anything like Amazon, but the system was complete enough, down to county
and municipal streets, and flexible enough to do the job. That system was
traceable in part to visions—and funding
programs—that met the needs of entire networks.
Inadequate infrastructure has social as well as
economic consequences. Lack of full access to vital
networks—whether roads or broadband or running
water—serves to reinforce existing patterns of economic
growth and stagnation. It threatens to create new classes of haves and
have-nots. Just as America would suffer if it were to be
“unplugged” from the global economy, so individual Americans
can be diminished by inadequate access.
We all recognize that
building effective, integrated infrastructure systems takes money and
political will. But it also takes coordination on a scale that is not often
provided by free markets alone. The people at FedEx and UPS, along with
managers and entrepreneurs at every level of the American economy, have the
luxury of picking and choosing among fundamentally strong transportation
systems because of public-policy choices made long ago. We need to ensure
that their successors have the same choices. John McQuaid, a Pulitzer
Prize–winning journalist who has written about the Hurricane Katrina
disaster, asked recently if America is “losing its knack for getting
big things done.” Our own past suggests that such gloom is
unwarranted, that in the end we have mustered the political will and the
money when they were most needed. Those long trains of containers hauling
goods from China are a good reminder that both the will and the money are
needed now.

Printer
Friendly |
Bruce
Seely is a historian of technology and chair of the Department of Social Sciences at Michigan Technological University, Houghton, Mich. He is coauthor with Mark Rose and Paul Barrett of The Best Transportation System in the World: Railroads, Trucks, Airlines, and American Public Policy in the Twentieth Century (2006).
Reprinted from Spring
2008 Wilson Quarterly
This article may not be resold, reprinted,
or redistributed for compensation of any kind without prior written
permission from the author. For further reprint information, please
contact Permissions, The Wilson Quarterly, One Woodrow Wilson
Plaza, 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, Washington, D.C.
Phone:202/691-4200
E-mail:wq@wilsoncenter.org
|