Events

Full Monty Of Iran Sanctions Biting But May Take Months To Force Change

The U.S. and Europe have begun imposing the toughest sanctions on Iran since the nuclear crisis began a decade ago but it could be months before they start to affect negotiations, writes Michael Adler in AOL Defense.

Democratic Transitions and the Problem of Power (Spring 2014)

Ottaway writes that three years after the beginning of the Arab uprisings, Tunisia and Egypt are moving in different directions. Tunisia is moving in a democratic direction because well-established political and civil society organizations counterbalance each other, forcing compromise. In Egypt, politics pitted the Muslim Brotherhood against the military and other state institution, inevitably leading to the triumph of the state. A new process of democratization is unlikely to start without other uprisings.

Behind the Smiles in Geneva, No Concrete Progress in Iran Negotiations

U.S. and Iranian officials are praising nuclear talks in Geneva this week as a key diplomatic success, but the problems that torpedoed previous efforts to win guarantees from Iran that it will not seek the bomb appear undiminished, writes Michael Adler on The Daily Beast.

Saudi Arabia's Ailing Gerontocracy

The age and illness of King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz al-Saud of Saudi Arabia have raised anew the concern that the fate of the world's key oil producer is now in the hands of an ailing gerontocracy. Wilson Center Senior Scholar David Ottaway analyzes the line to the Saudi crown.

Rouhani's Surprising Election

Hassan Rouhani’s surprising first round victory in the presidential elections represents a significant shift in the Iranian political landscape. In a field of candidates dominated by conservatives, Rouhani ran as a moderate. He questioned the necessity of the expanding security state and the constant oversight of student and civil society associations by the security agencies. He spoke of the need for greater freedom of press and speech, and devoted attention to women’s rights issues. Whether he will succeed, or whether he will initiate a change of direction only to be blocked by yet another rightwing backlash, remains to be seen.

Mali: The Time for Dithering is Over

Since Tuareg nationalists and al-Qaeda seized control of northern Mali in February 2012, the world has been dithering about what to do. Neither the United States nor Algeria, two potentially key actors in the unfolding drama, has decided on its role yet. Mali’s neighbors, the African Union, and the UN Security Council have not wanted to take any risky action and have found ways to put off a military response in the slim hope of finding a political solution.

Diplomacy Reemerging to Deal With Iran

Diplomatic solutions are retaking center stage as recent developments—Iran’s parliamentary vote and the Netanyahu-Obama meeting—lead to a palpable softening of rhetoric, reducing the likelihood of imminent military action, Wilson Center expert Michael Adler tells Context.

Breaking Down the Iranian Deal

Robin Wright spoke on a panel on MSNBC's Morning Joe about the nuclear deal reached with Iran over the weekend.

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