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Anatomy of a Political Crisis: Born in the USSR

Jan 22, 2014
Anyone following the current developments can provide an explanation for what has been going on. Some people refer to the geo-strategic battles between East and West; others,to the launching of the 2015 election campaign; some refer to Yanukovych’s pathological hatred of Tymoshenko; and still others claim that another global redistribution of spheres of influence and capital is taking place. All of these opinions are probably valid and each of them makes sense to a certain extent, but only to a certain extent.

Democrats Divided on Iran Sanctions

Jan 17, 2014
Jane Harman appeared on MSNBC's "The Daily Rundown" with Time magazine's world editor Bobby Ghosh to discuss the Iran sanctions bill and Russia's oil-for-goods negotiations with Iran. "We've spent 10 years imposing sanctions to get to the point where we can talk to Iran, so let's talk to Iran," Harman said.

Notes from Ukraine

Jan 16, 2014
Comments on the December 2013 - January 2014 Demonstrations from Kennan Institute Ukrainian alumni.

Putin's Judicial Vertical: Russian Rule of Law Takes a Step Backward

Jan 15, 2014
The upcoming Sochi Olympics prompted President Vladimir Putin to clear the decks of the country’s most prominent – and troubling – political cases, bringing renewed focus on the Russian judicial system. On the 20th anniversary of the Russian constitution, William Pomeranz and Matthew Rojansky issue a rule of law report card for the Russian Federation.

Who Benefits from the Customs Union?

Jan 13, 2014
On November 2, 2013, President of Russia Vladimir Putin met with President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev in Yekaterinburg at the tenth annual Forum on Interregional Cooperation. In the presence of journalists, they disputed, with unexpected severity, which country had supplied more goods and invested more within the framework of the Customs Union.

Від Майдану до системних змін?

Jan 10, 2014
Проголошення народного об’єднання “Майдан” видається конструктивним кроком після місячного протестного марафону в центрі столиці. Конструктив полягає, принаймні, у тому, що нарешті позначено можливості переходу від символічно важливого, але мало ефективного стояння у новітньому стилі “occupy” до підготовки широкої мобілізації, навіть мережево-віртуальної (“з Майданом у головах” за висловом Ю. Луценка) небайдужих громадян, що прагнуть системних змін.

Crises in Ukraine: 2004 and 2013 in Comparative Context

Jan 10, 2014
Big scale political crises occur in Ukraine approximately once in a decade, with each next crisis more devastating than the previous one. However, if the crises of 1994 and 2004 resulted in a change of power, the crisis of 2013 so far has not been resolved.

Ukraine Rebooting

Jan 10, 2014
Lately we have been hearing more and more cries for “rebooting” Ukraine. Yurii Lutsenko, the former Minister of Internal Affairs, calls for introducing a second and third republic, while Roman Bezsmertny, the author of unaccomplished administrative reform, has undergone a complete reincarnation; "Depa" and "Gepa" insist on moving the capital of the country to Kharkiv, while Andriy Klyuev, a prominent businessman and politician, sympathizes with unfortunate Poland about what it will do with Galicia when it breaks off from Ukraine.

What was it?

Jan 10, 2014
What was it – a global scale game, as to who can pay more and under what terms, or the real wish, although defined mainly by the pragmatic understanding of one’s own interests? This can be a simplified summary of the polemics which started in Ukraine and all over the world after the Association Agreement including establishing the preferential zone of free trade between Ukraine and the European Union was not signed in Vilnius. As time goes by, the former version of the game with the due adjustments predetermined by political situation in Bankova street becomes more and more popular. One can even hear a statement that current Ukrainian power could not sign the Agreement with the EU because of their incompatible mentality.

Russian Geopolitical Assault: Possibilities and Realities

Jan 10, 2014
History proves that if, following the radical changes in the international relations, reliable mechanisms and instruments to support the new configuration are not set up, earlier or later some members of the system will try to disrupt the balance of forces. Geopolitical assault can be considered one of such instruments. Its essence is the restoration of the control over the lost territories and spheres of influence, and in the end, it leads not only to restoration, but also to the enhancement of its status in the international system.

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