Now that the dust has begun to settle on the nuclear deal with Iran, we asked two expert observers, Haleh Esfandiari and Robert Litwak, to provide preliminary analysis. Both have been following the story since the beginning and bring unique perspectives on the deal’s strengths and weaknesses, and also on reactions in both Iran and the US. That’s the focus of this edition of Wilson Center NOW.
"For the moment, historic though it may be, the Iran enterprise is a transaction — in short a business deal devoid of much sentimentality in which both sides need stuff from the other and are still not sure they can get it, and it’s an imperfect and incomplete transaction at that," writes Aaron David Miller.
"Negotiating with Iran in an effort to slow its nuclear program and avoid war is the least bad alternative. But there are no good deals that will end Iran’s nuclear weapons aspirations, only ones with varying degrees of risk," writes Aaron David Miller and Jason Brodsky.
"Like Barack Obama, Iran’s President, Hassan Rouhani, took a big gamble last week, but his was riskier," writes Robin Wright.
"President Rouhani clearly will have popular support. But in Iran and abroad, eyes will be trained on the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei," writes Haleh Esfandiari and Robert Litwak.
"The deal still has to go through formal drafting, but the terms announced by Secretary of State John Kerry addressed the majority of issues with more specificity than expected," writes Robin Wright.
"But even if an agreement is reached, four decades of hostility between Iran and the United States will not be erased overnight," writes Haleh Esfandiari.
"A deal on the nuclear issue may well slow Iran’s program. That would be a good thing. But a situation where the U.S. is not moving to check Iran’s influence or, worse, making excuses for Iranian behavior is likely to create huge problems for Washington and its friends in the region," writes Aaron David Miller.
"The many layers of Yemen’s crisis are unlikely to be solved by military means," writes Robin Wright.
"Lack of jobs is only one of several issues that have disillusioned Tunisia’s young and enticed some of them to militancy," writes Robin Wright.
May 27, 2015 // 2:30pm — 4:30pm
June 02, 2015 // 12:00pm — 1:00pm
June 03, 2015 // 12:00pm — 1:00pm
Experts & Staff
- Haleh Esfandiari // Director, Middle East Program
- Kendra Heideman // Program Associate
- Julia Romano // Program Assistant
- Ismail Alexandrani // Visiting Arab Journalist
- Ghasaq Basel Abd Al-Raheem //
- Mohammed Al-Shami //
- Margot Badran // Senior Scholar
- Laura Blumenfeld // Public Policy Fellow
- Jason Brodsky // Policy Advisor to the Director, President and CEO and Research Associate
- Jeffrey Goldberg // Distinguished Fellow
- Roya Hakakian // Fellow
- Lilia Labidi // Fellow
- Aaron David Miller // Vice President for New Initiatives and Distinguished Scholar
- William Green Miller // Senior Scholar
- Amal Mudallali // Senior Scholar
- David Ottaway // Senior Scholar
- Marina Ottaway // Senior Scholar
- Max Rodenbeck // Fellow
- Joseph Sassoon // Fellow
- Abdulkader Sinno // Fellow
- Samir Sumaida’ie // Public Policy Scholar
- Robert Worth // Public Policy Scholar
- Robin Wright // USIP-Wilson Center Distinguished Scholar