"Obama has argued that regardless of Iran's behavior at home and in the region, a constrained nuclear program is worth achieving in its own right because Iran will be less dangerous," writes Aaron David Miller.
"Much depends on how the talks collapse: Who takes the hit will be important in the political positioning that inevitably follows the demise of a deal," writes Aaron David Miller.
"The Iraq war still haunts Iran—and shapes the theocracy’s positions at the negotiating table—partly because tens of thousands are still dying from chemical weapons, according to the Society for Chemical Weapons Victims Support," writes Robin Wright.
"Obama couldn't and would never say it, but he probably was thinking it: The best way to avoid being taken hostage is to avoid putting yourself in these danger zones to begin with. Americans have to take responsibility for the personal choices they make in these danger zones," writes Aaron David Miller.
"If the World League volleyball match was any indicator, dealing with the United States is still a vexed issue for many Iranians. At the start of both games, a giant American flag was carried onto the court by four young Iranian boys as the American national anthem played. Iranian television, which broadcast the game live, showed the flag but opted to mute the anthem," writes Robin Wright.
"The deal may succeed in slowing Iran’s nuclear program. But sooner or later, some future U.S. President is bound to confront a richer, stronger, more influential Iran, one with nuclear weapons still within its reach," writes Aaron David Miller.
"To stay even in this war against the Islamic State (an entity which combines 8th century Islamist practices, values, and ideology with 21st century technology) — let alone winning it — seems a stretch. And here’s why," writes Aaron David Miller.
"The Obama administration and its critics in Congress should stop using language like “defeat.” This isn’t World War II. Eliminating ISIS requires fixing Syria and Iraq, creating well-governed, functional states. And not even the hawks in Congress are prepared to expend the resources required for that," writes Aaron David Miller.
"Even if we finesse the problem and use Obama's clever turn of phrase, to "ultimately defeat" ISIS, as our goal, we had better get used to a very long war. Even with such a war, victory as conventionally defined may still be elusive," writes Aaron David Miller.
"If the U.S. opens an assistance conduit to the tribes, it could have major consequences among Shiites: It could weaken Mr. Abadi in the eyes of his Shiite constituency; it could undermine the premise of central government the U.S. is trying to support; it could even lead Iran to more aggressively push their Shiite militias in Iraq, further weakening the idea of centralized authority," writes Aaron David Miller.
Experts & Staff
- Henri J. Barkey // Director, Middle East Program
- Kendra Heideman // Program Associate
- Julia Craig Romano // Program Assistant
- Ismail Alexandrani // Visiting Arab Journalist
- Margot Badran // Senior Scholar
- Laura Blumenfeld // Public Policy Fellow
- Jason Brodsky // Policy Advisor to the Director, President and CEO and Research Associate
- Jeffrey Goldberg // Distinguished Fellow
- Aaron David Miller // Vice President for New Initiatives and Distinguished Scholar
- Amal Mudallali // Senior Scholar
- David Ottaway // Senior Scholar
- Marina Ottaway // Senior Scholar
- Robin Wright // USIP-Wilson Center Distinguished Scholar
- Haleh Esfandiari // Director Emerita, Middle East Program