Wilson Center Experts
Environmental Change and Security Program
Global Fellow, Wilson Center; Demographer in Residence, The Stimson Center
Oct 15, 2013
Oct 15, 2014
Richard Cincotta is a consultant on political demography for the Wilson Center’s Environmental Change and Security Program and demographer-in-residence at The Stimson Center.
Previous Terms at the Wilson Center:
Related Content for this Expert
The series seeks to broaden understanding of health and population issues as part of the problem and part of the solution to instability challenges, as well as foster debate about the correlations between fragility and population dynamics. more
Using age-structure data, Richard Cincotta assesses the fragility of existing liberal democracies and forecasts when new ones will emerge. more
ECSP invited a wide range of scientists, government officials, nongovernmental activists, and defense analysts from across the globe to write commentaries on Global Trends 2015. more
The authors use population age structure and recent history of civil unrest to project risks of civil conflict into the future. more
Richard Cincotta highlights the role of demographic transition within a nuanced understanding of demographic security issues. more
January 26, 2011 // 2:30pm — 4:30pm
With populations of Asian nations declining, a panel of experts discusses the trends and looks at the effect on social policy and regional dynamics. more
December 17, 2013 // 9:15am — 11:00am
Please join the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative of the Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, in partnership with the US Agency for International Development and the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, for the highly anticipated launch of The Future Can’t Wait.
June 24, 2013 // 12:00pm — 5:00pm
As the United States approaches its 2014 deadline for military withdrawal from Afghanistan, one often overshadowed aspect of the conflict is the hard-won progress made by previously marginalized segments of the Afghan population, particularly women, girls, and young people. Afghanistan has one of the highest proportions of young people in the world – many of whom have known only war. The median age of the population is 15.6 years old, the median age of marriage is 18, and half of mothers surveyed during a country-wide mortality survey had their first child when they were teenagers.
February 26, 2013 // 10:00am — 12:00pm
The newest quadrennial report from the National Intelligence Council identifies the “game-changers, megatrends, and black swans” that may determine the trajectory of world affairs over the next 15 years, including population dynamics and natural resource scarcity.
January 30, 2013 // 12:00pm — 2:00pm
“We are in the midst of a silent revolution,” said Ann Pawliczko, a senior technical advisor in the population and development branch at the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), quoting former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan. “It is a revolution that extends well beyond demographics, with major economic, social, cultural, psychological, and spiritual implications.”
April 26, 2012 // 12:00pm — 2:00pm
Valerie Hudson and Chad Emmett present their new book in which they argue that the status of women is the single most important predictive factor in determining state stability.
Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics [Monterey, CA]
March 30, 2012 // 8:30am — 2:00pm
Ten years ago, demography was hardly on the radar screen of policymakers. Today, it’s a part of almost every discussion of America’s long-term fiscal, economic, or foreign policy direction. With the world’s population hitting 7 billion last year, and headed for 10 billion in the next century, it is crucial to assess the impact of global population trends on international security and national politics. Top demographic security experts discuss this important trend at a half day workshop at the Monterey Institute of International Studies.
May 11, 2011 // 3:00pm — 5:00pm
Measurements of "human population density and growth can be used to identify changes in the viability of native species, and more directly, in changes in ecological systems or habitat quality," said Richard Cincotta, consultant at the Environmental Change and Security Program and demographer-in-residence at the Stimson Center, speaking at the book launch of Human Population: Its Influence on Biological Diversity.
March 24, 2011 // 12:00pm — 2:00pm
In 2008, demographer Richard Cincotta predicted that between 2010 and 2020 the states along the northern rim of Africa – Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt – would each reach a demographically measurable point where the presence of at least one liberal democracy (and perhaps two), among the five, would not only be possible, but probable. Recent months have brought possible first steps to validate that prediction.
June 13, 2006 // 12:00pm — 2:00pm
Drawing on three decades of data, Richard Cincotta and Jack Goldstone explore the relationship between demography and conflict—critical to the USAID reexamination of the Fragile/Rebuilding States strategy.
December 16, 2003 // 11:00pm
Do trends in human population affect a country's chances of civil war? According to a new report from Population Action International, countries with a high number of young adults were more likely to suffer a civil conflict during the 1990s.
Using age-structure data, Richard Cincotta assesses the fragility of existing liberal democracies and forecasts when new ones will emerge.
The authors use population age structure and recent history of civil unrest to project risks of civil conflict into the future.
The series seeks to broaden understanding of health and population issues as part of the problem and part of the solution to instability challenges, as well as foster debate about the correlations between fragility and population dynamics.
Experts review new publications.
Richard Cincotta highlights the role of demographic transition within a nuanced understanding of demographic security issues.
ECSP invited a wide range of scientists, government officials, nongovernmental activists, and defense analysts from across the globe to write commentaries on Global Trends 2015.