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Brexit Demands a Disruptive Response

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The United Kingdom’s stunning vote to leave the European Union will surely disrupt many assumptions about European integration, borders, trade, political elites, the generational divide, and more. The response needs to be as disruptive as the referendum result.

The United Kingdom’s stunning vote to leave the European Union will surely disrupt many assumptions about European integration, borders, trade, political elites, the generational divide, and more. 

The response needs to be as disruptive as the referendum result. 

It is time to rethink what else could and should change to address the palpable anger of voters related to the dislocation of globalization, correct the failure of governments to deliver adequate services, stem the rise of intolerance, and stop the total breakdown of civility. The situation cries out for strong leadership - by the United States, and by the leaders of Europe. My candidate to seize the moment is Angela Merkel, who has shown moral courage as well as careful stewardship.

Anger clearly fueled the Brexit vote, and it is doing the same in our own election cycle. But one of the biggest surprises about Brexit was that so many Millennials supported Remain. Leaders around the world need to capture their excitement about globalization and make a concerted effort to get that population more engaged in the business of government, by integrating them into key roles and proving that the establishment can in fact change.

We have strong relationships with the individual countries of the EU, but the United States can be an indispensable partner for all of Europe, binding the Western world together during this time of crisis.

Meanwhile, the failure to address concerns from older generations about government dysfunction also stoked the fire. These voters are concerned about the economy, about events in Syria and the broader Middle East, and are questioning lifelong assumptions that their countries will protect them and assure that their children will be better off than they are. Our leaders must recognize this wake-up call. Many exciting ideas exist for how to help those adversely affected by our globalized world.

The first step is for government to recognize that it cannot fix the problem -- but it can help organize and spotlight some of the best ideas, like efforts to help individuals adjust their skills for new work. These efforts require public-private partnerships the likes of which we haven't seen before.

Agility is the name of the new game, economically and in foreign policy too. In the interim chaos - and Slovakia's assumption of the EU Presidency in a few short days does not provide much solace -- certain players will step in to take advantage of the power vacuum. Pressured by continuous loss of the territory under its control, the Islamic State may use this time to call on prepositioned fighters to carry out more attacks. In the medium term, we must also watch and be poised to address changes in ISIS’s strategy, including efforts to carry out new kinds of attacks -- attacks that are both physical and digital.

Thankfully, our intelligence relationships will continue to remain strong, but bureaucracy always threatens to get in the way - especially in times of uncertainty.  The leaders of Europe need to assure their intelligence services that they have adequate legal authority to focus on stopping urgent plots and keep an eye on more strategic concerns.

Speaking of strategic concerns: If there ever was an opportunity to cause mischief and test additional boundaries, Russian President Vladimir Putin will try. We need a tough NATO now more than ever, and the upcoming NATO summit is an opportunity for the United States and our allies to ensure the treaty organization is ready for any eventuality.

It is time to rethink what else could and should change to address the palpable anger of voters related to the dislocation of globalization, correct the failure of governments to deliver adequate services, stem the rise of intolerance, and stop the total breakdown of civility.

Bad actors aren't the only ones to watch. Simmering border disputes could boil over and bring renewed instability in places like Northern Ireland. And ongoing mass migration problems could become even more difficult to manage than they already are.

We have strong relationships with the individual countries of the EU, but the United States can be an indispensable partner for all of Europe, binding the Western world together during this time of crisis.

Finally, intolerance and a loss of civility in our politics must be addressed. For that, we need good role models. Rather than berating the British for deciding to leave the European Union, we must push forward and promote our values together. 

Britain's Conservative Party election this fall will likely coincide with America’s elections -- and there is no doubt that the two votes will share some identical themes. Indeed, there may be a boom-box effect by which candidates in both races align their messaging. Short-hand takeaway:  Be vigilant, stay focused on key threats, and use the moment to reduce and not inflame anger.

I hope we accept the challenge. The future started a while ago, but the Brexit result means we all must now address it.

The opinions expressed here are solely those of the author. 

This article originally appeared in Real Clear World.

About the Author

 Jane Harman image

Jane Harman

Distinguished Fellow and President Emerita, Wilson Center

Jane Harman, Distinguished Fellow and President Emerita, Wilson Center, is an internationally recognized authority on U.S. and global security issues, foreign relations and lawmaking. A native of Los Angeles and a public-school graduate, she went on to become a nine-term member of Congress, serving decades on the major security committees in the House of Representatives. Drawing upon a career that has included service as President Carter’s Secretary of the Cabinet and hundreds of diplomatic missions to foreign countries, Harman holds posts on nearly a dozen governmental and non-governmental advisory boards and commissions.

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Global Europe Program

The Global Europe Program is focused on Europe’s capabilities, and how it engages on critical global issues.  We investigate European approaches to critical global issues. We examine Europe’s relations with Russia and Eurasia, China and the Indo-Pacific, the Middle East and Africa. Our initiatives include “Ukraine in Europe” – an examination of what it will take to make Ukraine’s European future a reality.  But we also examine the role of NATO, the European Union and the OSCE, Europe’s energy security, transatlantic trade disputes, and challenges to democracy. The Global Europe Program’s staff, scholars-in-residence, and Global Fellows participate in seminars, policy study groups, and international conferences to provide analytical recommendations to policy makers and the media.  Read more