Democratic Transition | Wilson Center

Democratic Transition

Mexico's 2018 Presidential Race: What the Past May Tell Us About this Election

It is far too early to offer concrete or foregone conclusions about the upcoming Mexican presidential race. The most important variable to keep in mind, based on the three previous presidential races since 2000, is that elections matter and they do alter the outcome. That was especially the case in 2000, when Vicente Fox defeated the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) candidate, Francisco Labastida, who began with a 10 percent lead in that race.

To Rebuild Democracy: The Premises

​In this first essay, I lay out the premises. Even the most basic ones are not obvious right now. Rage against the party system is so widespread, and so frequently justified, that it is appropriate to mention them again. Other ones are more controversial, but it is indispensable to make them all explicit.

Podcast | Duncan Wood on the Start of the 2018 Mexican Election Cycle

Chance and Opportunities

In an exercise in which I participated in Boston years ago, the teacher who organized the event raised the possibility of Tolstoy and Dostoyevsky collaborating. The question he asked the audience was: Will it be "war and punishment” or “crime and peace?" The purpose of the exercise was to force the participants to think “outside the box” and to look for solutions other than the conventional ones in each one’s affairs. These days of earthquakes made me remember that adventure and observe the government in a different way.

Elections 2018: Mexico's Governability is at Stake

Every election year introduces frictions into the Mexican political system that if not resolved appropriately complicate the country’s governability. The perception of voter fraud prevalent in Mexican elections has created an environment of distrust among the various political parties and their supporters.

Democratic Methods

Democratic ways and means are only one method among many other options: popular assemblies, delegate conventions, surveys, or primaries. Even what in Mexico is denominated as dedazo (a term used to describe Mexican politicians who in the 20th century were able to hand pick their successor) is valid, although Javier Aparicio’s magnificent article in Excelsior gives me doubt (El dedazo iluminado).

The Mexico Institute's 2018 Elections Guide

Every six years, Mexicans go to the polls to pick a new President and a new Congress. The country’s democratic transition, though still far from complete, has made impressive strides since the 1980s, and competitive elections and political alternation have become institutions firmly embedded in political culture. Elections give voters the opportunity to choose the individuals and the party that will rule Mexico for the next six years, and since 1997, those voters have shown a deep dissatisfaction with incumbents.