Elections

AMLO and the Markets: Who Will Tame Whom?

The relationship between President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador, or AMLO, and the business community has long been a tense one. Many of the leaders of Mexico’s largest businesses sounded the alarm, endorsing alternate candidates and warning of the dire consequences of an AMLO presidency for the Mexican economy. Yet in the run up to and then in the immediate wake of the elections as his victory became inevitable, the value of the peso strengthened and Mexican stocks rallied.

Mexico Elections 2018: Flash Analysis

Earl Anthony Wayne, Advisory Board Co-Chair, Mexico Institute; Former U.S. Ambassador to Mexico 

"With the exit polls giving Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) a big win in the Presidential election Sunday evening, key will be the size of victory for his party and allies in congressional elections and gubernatorial races.  Also key tonight (Sunday) will be the messages to the nation in AMLO's statements.

How the Mexico Election Impacts San Diego

San Diego and California have a lot riding on Mexico’s Sunday elections and resulting impacts for U.S.-Mexico relations.

Mexico is California’s top export market with sales of $26.7 billion in 2017, compared to only $7.7 billion in 1994, the first year of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Total U.S.-Mexico trade has multiplied by six under NAFTA. Mexico is the United States’ second largest export market and its third largest trading partner.

Mexico's Elections: A Turning Point for California and the United States?

(The following article is adapted from a series of talks in California given June 25-28)

Mexico has a momentous election on July 1.  Who gets elected and how U.S.-Mexico relations unfold afterwards will have major consequences for California and the United States, as well as Mexico.

Are Criminals Trying To Sway The Mexican Election on Sunday? Five Observations And Suggestions

With a shocking 120 politicians reportedly killed in the lead up to Mexico’s July 1st election, what does this violence mean for Mexico’s electoral process and, ultimately, its democracy? A deeper look at this number offers several insights into the criminal and security landscape in Mexico, and suggests ways policy should change to better address the problem.

Mexican Residents in the United States: Fulfilling the Potential for a Demographic Democratic Bonus

Roughly 88 million Mexican voters are registered to vote in their country’s elections on July 1st. A significantly smaller population of voters has already begun to cast their ballots — Mexicans who live abroad. Mexican emigrants make up 12.2% of the total Mexican population, 97.33% of whom live in the United States.

Third Time's a Charm for Leading Presidential Candidate in Mexico

There is no doubt that Mexico’s July 1 election will be historic. More than 3,000 public posts are at stake across the country, including an entirely new Congress, nine governorships and, of course, the presidency.

Most polls suggest that the Morena party, led by Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), will score a big victory across the country.

Given that Mexico is the United States’ third-largest trading partner, its second-largest export market and an essential partner for our homeland security, the impact here will be significant.

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