Third Time's a Charm for Leading Presidential Candidate in Mexico

There is no doubt that Mexico’s July 1 election will be historic. More than 3,000 public posts are at stake across the country, including an entirely new Congress, nine governorships and, of course, the presidency.

Most polls suggest that the Morena party, led by Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), will score a big victory across the country.

Given that Mexico is the United States’ third-largest trading partner, its second-largest export market and an essential partner for our homeland security, the impact here will be significant.

Chocolate Cars, Sales Taxes, and a Bit of Donald Trump: The U.S.-Mexico Border in the 2018 Mexican Elections

Politics at the Limits of Mexico
On May 20, the Mexican presidential candidates will hold a debate in Tijuana, whose city motto Aquí empieza la patria (“The Nation Begins Here”) subtly pushes back against Mexico City’s centralization of power and policymaking.

A Danger for the PRI

The phrase "a danger for Mexico" directed at López Obrador has long ceased to be effective. The passing of years and the lead in the polls show that AMLO has lost the ability to frighten.

However, his persistent messianic spirit, self-oriented and anti-institutional vocation do represent a threat to our fragile democracy.

This is why the so-called “pact” between the PRI and Morena or the government and AMLO draws attention: simply put, if the “pact” occurs, the worst affected will be the Mexican people for at least three reasons.

Mexico Election 2018: A Historic Vote across the Nation

Mexicans head to the polls on July 1. Almost 88 million voters will be electing 3,416 different positions, making the 2018 election unprecedented in its scope. Positions at stake include the presidency, state and federal legislative posts, governors, and mayors. Thirty out of 32 states will hold local elections.

Mexico Election Preview

In this edition of Wilson Center NOW, Mexico Institute director Duncan Wood previews the upcoming general election. He discusses the polling dominance of front-runner Andrés Manuel López Obrador and talks about other things to look for when Mexicans go to the polls on July 1.