Fake Polls as Fake News: The Challenge for Mexico's Elections

Voter manipulation through misinformation is a long and established practice in many polities regardless of whether they are democracies or authoritarian regimes. Parties and candidates alike will frame and even distort issues to their advantage. Misinformed voters can be a potential threat to democracy if they get to know the issues through fake news: poor decision-making will follow. 

Betting on the Debate

Throughout this year it was said that, once the campaigns started, the pieces would fall into place, and preferences would consolidate by overcoming AMLO’s lead, a product of his media presence for many years.

PODCAST | Mexican Presidential Candidates: Security Policy Analysis

Infographic | Mexico's Electoral Process

The Old-New Dispute

Mexico has been fighting for the future for at least half a century. After decades of stability and relatively high economic growth, in the 1960s the economic order based on the substitution of imports and the political order based on the tight control by a closed political system began to crumble. From then on, the country has divided into two main currents: the one that sought to build a new future by looking forward and outward; and the one that persecuted to return to the revolutionary nationalism originated in the Mexican Revolution, particularly in its cardenista phase.

The Future of Argentina: Political and Economic Factors Shaping the Macri Administration

Two years into his presidency, Mauricio Macri's approval rating remains around 50 percent, a surprisingly high level of support given the politically difficult reforms he has implemented, such as sharp increases to the cost of gas, electricity and transportation. Following stagflation during his first year in office, Macri oversaw a return to modest economic growth and a steady reduction in inflation.

Vote from Abroad: The 2018 Mexican Elections

More than 12 million Mexicans living abroad will have the opportunity to vote in the 2018 general elections. While Mexicans have been able to vote from abroad since 2005, voter turnout has been dismally low in past elections. In an effort to increase voter turnout, the National Electoral Institute (INE) is issuing voting IDs for Mexicans living abroad through the network of Mexican consulates.

We were pleased to host a discussion on the role of the INE in Mexico's electoral process and how the Mexican vote abroad could impact the outcome of the 2018 Mexican election.  

What About Foreign Policy?

There is no need to be an electoral strategy guru to know that, with a few exceptions, in almost no country or situation do foreign policy issues decide a general election. Mexico has not been – and will not be in 2018 – the exception. However, it does not mean this is a minor or irrelevant theme, particularly for a country like ours, with a geostrategic location that causes world events to affect us profoundly and that requires – or aspires to – play an important international role. Today, and in this campaign, to ignore what happens in the exterior involves risks.

Infographic | 2018 Electoral Map

New Polling Data from Mexico: Does Positive Opinion of the U.S. Depend on Progress in NAFTA Talks?