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NATO

How to Start a Proxy War with Russia

On Wednesday, Ashton Carter, the president’s nominee for Secretary of Defense, made headlines [4] when he told Congress that he was “very much inclined” to arm the Ukrainian troops in order to combat pro-Russian rebels.

Bold Dialog Needed in Budapest

The new U.S. Ambassador to Hungary arrived in Budapest after an 18-month hiatus in American diplomatic presence on the highest level. Colleen Bradley Bell, a television producer (most notably of the wildly successful The Bold and the Beautiful) turned political appointee, has a considerable task in representing American and transatlantic interests and defending common Western values.

Is Russia planning a winter offensive?

The buildup of separatist forces in Donetsk, Ukraine, and Moscow's patently confrontational tone are raising the specter of another offensive in eastern Ukraine before winter grips the region. On Wednesday, NATO warned that "columns of Russian equipment, primarily Russian tanks, Russian artillery, Russian air defense systems and Russian combat troops" had been spotted entering Ukraine.

Is this crisis about to flare up again, just two months after Russia withdrew its forces?

Forecasting Nuclear War

Forecasting Nuclear War:

Stasi/KGB Intelligence Cooperation under Project RYaN

Between 1981 and 1989 the foreign intelligence branches of the Soviet KGB and the East German Ministry of State Security launched a combined effort to develop a system for detecting signs of an impending western nuclear first strike. Codenamed “Project RYaN”, this early-warning system constituted one part of the Soviet response to the perceived threat of a surprise “decapitation” strike by NATO nuclear forces.

Why Sending Weapons to Ukraine Would be a Terrible Idea for the US

The Ukraine Freedom Support Act, passed last month by the US senate’s Foreign Relations Committee, could mark a new kind of policy for the US in Ukraine.  It doesn’t propose new sanctions, or the “major non-NATO ally” designation for Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia, but instead grants permission to send Ukraine a variety of weapons, ammunition, and specialized equipment to fill gaps in its current military’s capabilities, with $350 million authorized for this fiscal year.

Can Oil Sanctions Push Russian Economy Into Recession?

Will Pomeranz joins “Bloomberg Surveillance" to look at whether or not the Russian economy can be pushed into recession by sanctions from the U.S. and Europe and the fall in oil prices. 

Jane Harman on The Daily Rundown

Jane Harman comments on the developing ISIL situation; what might happen if ISIL did, in fact, obtain three fighter jets, the power and success of the Kurdish fighters, and the role that Turkey has played in the conflict. 

"It seems to me, three fighter jets going up against us, and even the Assad forces, are not going to last very long. And if we have any reason to believe they are around, we are going to look for them," says Jane Harman. 

America’s Longest War: What To Expect When U.S. Troops Leave Afghanistan

With the U.S. war effort in Afghanistan winding down, and responsibility shifting to Afghan security forces, Michael Kugelman provides insight into what to expect. Does Iraq provide an example? Or are their enough differences between the two to suggest a different outcome? And what are the regional implications of a decreased U.S. presence? How will Afghanistan’s relationships with Pakistan and India be effected? 

Russia and Ukraine: Hybrid War in the Donbas

Much discussion has taken place about the political implications and outcomes of the conflict in Ukraine, but these have been shaped by military realities on the ground. Michael Kofman discussed the current military balance and the actual state of Ukraine’s military and defense industry. The tactics employed in this summer's fighting by all sides will have implications that reverberate throughout the process of ceasefire and political settlement. It is important to understand the military nuances in order to gain perspective on Ukraine's options in the future. 

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