Nov 19, 2015
A number of political and sectarian factors make the likelihood of ISIS expansion into Afghanistan and Pakistan unlikely, but the sinister possibility of a future rapprochement between ISIS and al-Qaeda should not be ruled out completely.
Nov 13, 2015
Counterterrorism is a science of worst-case scenarios. The risk of a game-changing plot is always small, but the kind of “black swan” events that could reshape the region look more and more real today. Better to overestimate the threat now than read about it in the papers tomorrow.
Nov 06, 2015
"The statements of both Sharif and Aziz raise legitimate questions about whether and why Pakistani policy in the seemingly intractable Afghan peace process has evolved behind those curtains that keep it in deep shadows," writes William Milam.
Oct 22, 2015
Nawaz Sharif’s time in Washington will cover a range of issues at the center of the U.S.-Pakistan relationship.
Oct 20, 2015
"At the end of the day, when Washington needs to get something done to serve its chief interests in Pakistan, one can assume it goes to the generals, not the civilians. This is incredibly ironic and misguided — given that the generals imperil U.S. interests in the region with their sponsorship of non-state militants — but nonetheless a fact of life for U.S.-Pakistan relations," writes Michael Kugelman.
Oct 06, 2015
Oct 06, 2015
Pakistan’s youth bulge can be a life line if its young people get decent schooling - See more at: http://www.thefridaytimes.com/tft/investing-in-pakistans-future/#sthash.0U7Xxmhs.dpuf
Sep 18, 2015
"In short, the Pakistani Taliban is down but not out. It enjoys close ties to powerful al Qaeda-linked militant groups in the region, and it retains the ability to recruit fighters to join those based in the Pakistani tribal belt, elsewhere in Pakistan, and in Afghanistan," writes Michael Kugelman.
Jul 31, 2015
"We may be seeing in Afghanistan the calm before the storm. If tensions spill over, splinter groups could form and some Taliban members could defect to Islamic State. Should such tumult feed on itself enough, it might even tear the Taliban apart," writes Michael Kugelman.
Jul 29, 2015
Asia Program Senior Associate, Michael Kugelman speaks about the significance of the confirmed death of Taliban Supreme Leader Mullah Omar.