"The incursion in Ukraine is modest compared with that of Afghanistan, and the number of Russian deaths is far smaller. Yet once again a limited number of Kremlin leaders, without benefit of public debate, may make a fateful decision about using force against a neighbor. The leaders should bear in mind the lesson of Afghanistan and exercise caution," write Denis Corboy, William Courtney, and Kenneth Yalowitz.
China and Russia have options to forge an essentially cooperative relationship. However, limits to their partnership could grow over time given the two nations’ differing trajectories and historical grievances.
"If we look at some of the Kremlin’s domestic policy initiatives, we see a country struggling to become less “Soviet” in its actions and reform its decrepit institutions before it’s too late," writes Maxim Trudolyubov.
"For all of President Vladimir Putin’s rhetoric about Russian nationalism and economic self-reliance, he finds himself surprisingly constrained in his ability to respond to the European Commission’s action against Gazprom. Yet Putin will have to respond at a time when the country’s energy and economic options are limited. He also has to swallow the European Union’s reminder that even after Ukraine, Russia is not an international rule maker," writes William E. Pomeranz.
A veteran foreign policy practitioner and analyst, Richard Perle, provides insight into the history and current application of sanctions as a tool of U.S.statecraft. Do they work? What are the conditions necessary to make them effective? And are we getting it right in the cases of Iran and Russia? These are just some of the questions addressed in this episode of CONTEXT.
In this NOW interview, William Pomeranz and Meg Lundsager discuss the impact, effectiveness, and consequences of U.S. sanctions past and present.
"As a former KGB officer and head of the KGB’s successor agency, the FSB, Putin knows the value of information. His concept of the media, however, is a far cry from the First Amendment. For him, it’s a simple transactional equation: Whoever owns the media controls what it says," writes Jill Dougherty.
The final program of the ASN 2015 World Convention can be downloaded at http://nationalities.org/uploads/documents/ASN_Final_Program_2015.pdf. The Convention, sponsored by the Harriman Institute, will be held at Columbia University, New York, on April 23-25, 2015.
"A key question for the United States is whether the current complex geopolitical environment and tense atmosphere in Russian relations with the West will impinge future Arctic cooperation." writes James F. Collins.
Kennan Institute is pleased to announce the 2015 competition for the Galina Starovoitova Fellowship on Human Rights and Conflict Resolution.