Crowds of protesters are shrinking, talks are scheduled, but frustrations on both sides remain. While many in the press and elsewhere are quick to reference the 1989 Tiananmen Square protests, Robert Daly explains how what’s happening today is different in many ways.
"This is a key moment for the students. The chief executive is certainly not going to leave and the crowds are now smaller than they have been; it is reasonable to assume that those who remain are more radical, are willing to go a little bit further," says Robert Daly.
"Hong Kong’s problem will continue for as long as the structural sources of conflict cannot be addressed. The identity crises in Hong Kong, Xinjiang, Taiwan, and Tibet will surely become Beijing’s real tests and dilemmas. How well the Chinese leadership deals with these crises will determine China’s rise and future development," writes Global Fellow Zheng Wang.
"At first glance, Russia's ally China seems to be in big trouble, with the protests in Hong Kong and fears of a new Tiananmen Square. Yet they might be overblown. Given the current situation in Hong Kong, China’s most likely course of action is to make some concessions, arrest protest leaders and discipline local authorities," writes Fellow Jack Goldstone.
Chinese leaders have identified U.S. and Western culture as threats to Chinese values and society. But as China becomes more engaged with the world, is it possible to encourage foreign investment while avoiding the power of pop culture?
Despite cabinet-level meetings in Beijing and joint military exercises in the Pacific, July saw a continuation in trends that have experts in Beijing and Washington increasingly concerned about the course of bilateral relations. China’s rejection of America’s call for a construction freeze in the South China Sea reinforced worldwide impressions that the PRC is assertive and the U.S. ineffectual.
Tensions over security, access, and environmental impacts in the Arctic are rising. While members of the Arctic Council (Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Russia, Sweden, the United States) assert their established rights under new circumstances, an increasing number of non-Arctic states (including China, Korea, Japan, and Singapore) seek an active role in the region. In this video series, "Who Owns the Arctic?" an international panel of experts describes why one of the world’s coldest environments is becoming a hot topic.
Tensions over territorial claims continue to percolate in the South China Sea. Questions and concerns about China’s intentions and actions are hot topics in the Philippines and Vietnam. Can the U.S., given the stated intention to “rebalance to Asia,” play an important role in sorting out competing claims?
In this Context interview, Willy Østreng, Senior Researcher and Chairman of the Research Institute Ocean Futures in Oslo, shared his thoughts on the Arctic and how to best approach such a fragile ecosystem.
The United States will soon begin a term chairing The Arctic Council. Will it make the Arctic a priority and does the U.S. have a clear strategy for the region? Heather Conley discusses the view from the US in part 6 of the CONTEXT series, “Who Owns The Arctic?”