How World Cup Fever Can Thaw the US-Canada Relationship

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is creating more than unforgettable moments on the pitch. It is also providing a rare opportunity to strengthen dialogue between the United States and Canada during a period of heightened political and economic tensions.

Editor's Note: This article was drafted on June 19, 2026, and was first published in Italian in the July 2026 edition of "Formiche" magazine.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup in the United States, Canada, and Mexico has been off to a hot start. Memorable opening matches, dominant performances by superstars, and surprising upsets in the group stage have accelerated global viewership of the tournament. At the same time, all eyes are also focused on the relationship between Washington D.C. and Ottawa as critical negotiations are held over the future of North America’s trade.

Discourse around the renewal of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) has highlighted the tensions between the Trump administration and its Canadian counterparts. Since the announcement of “Liberation Day” tariffs on April 2, 2025, the US-Canada relationship has grown frigid with sides trading barbs in the press and over the airwaves. The sides are currently at an impasse headed into the July 1 joint review, with Canada’s trade representatives favoring a full renewal whereas US President Trump told reporters during the recent G7 summit in Évian that he would “rather have it terminated.”

Yet the current strain in US-Canada relations extends beyond trade negotiations. President Trump's repeated references to Canada as a potential "51st state" have provoked a nationalist backlash among Canadians that many Americans have not fully appreciated. While disagreements over tariffs, defense spending, and the USMCA review dominate official discussions, the broader bilateral relationship remains rooted in longstanding ties between the American and Canadian people. That distinction may prove important as millions of fans follow the World Cup across North America in the weeks ahead. With 39 days’ worth of matches scheduled, the tournament provides ample opportunity for both people-to-people connection and government-to-government dialogue at a critical juncture in the North American partnership. World Cup fever may be just what is needed to thaw US-Canada relations.

It is often said that sports are a universal language - one that can “bring people together, no matter what their origin, background, religious beliefs or economic status.” This holds true for even the most entrenched politicians. Ahead of the opening ceremony of the 2024 Olympic Games, French President Emmanuel Macron invited 50 heads of state and government to a “world leaders’ summit” in Paris where billions of dollars were pledged to finance sporting initiatives for sustainable development. Two years prior, the 2022 World Cup facilitated countless informal diplomatic meetings held in the seats and private boxes of Qatar’s glamorous new stadiums. It was also the site of the fifth US-Qatar Strategic Dialogue where, in addition to security and economic cooperation, diplomats discussed the “legacy of FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 and preparation for the United 2026 World Cup in North America.”

Mega sporting events provide safe venues for heads of state to hold dialogue away from the grating protocol of a state visit or the prying eyes and ears of the press. Even preparations for events like the World Cup can foster meaningful behind-the-scenes exchange. During the World Cup Final Draw in Washington D.C. on December 5, 2025, President Trump, Canadian Prime Minister Carney, and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum spoke on trade issues in a 45 minute-long private meeting that was unattended by staff. Seated together in a private box overlooking the Kennedy Center stage, this was the last time that all three leaders met in person. The leaders did not disclose conversation details to the press.

Since the World Cup Final Draw, President Trump and President Sheinbaum have not met. While President Trump and Prime Minister Carney were together at the G7 summit, held on June 17-18, the two did not meet bilaterally. This means that a World Cup match is the only realistic venue for face-to-face conversations before the signing of a USMCA renewal (or some other trade deal). World Cup-centered meetings should be a top priority for all parties to the USMCA, and especially between the U.S. and Canada. Unlike Mexico, Canada has resisted linking broader policy concessions to the opening of trade negotiations. As the clock winds down to July 1, open dialogue between President Trump and Prime Minister Carney will be essential as negotiations over the trade alliance enter extra time.

The World Cup is unlikely to resolve disagreements over tariffs, defense spending, or the future of the USMCA. Nor should anyone expect ninety minutes of soccer to produce breakthroughs that months of diplomacy have not. Yet, international sporting events often achieve something more modest, but still valuable: they remind people of relationships that political disputes can obscure.

For Canada and the United States, that may be the tournament's most important legacy. Co-hosting the World Cup once appeared to offer an opportunity to showcase North American cooperation in security, infrastructure, and economic development. Current political tensions have limited that possibility. But millions of Canadian and American fans will nevertheless watch the same matches, cheer many of the same players, and travel across the border to participate in the same event. At a moment when public opinion in both countries has become more negative, those shared experiences can help restore goodwill and mutual understanding. The World Cup will not determine the outcome of trade negotiations, but it may remind Canadians and Americans that their relationship is larger than any single dispute—and that their leaders have a strong incentive to treat one another accordingly.