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In spite of an all-encompassing economic and humanitarian crisis, Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro is likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming May 2018 presidential elections, consolidating a fully authoritarian regime.  Maduro has dismantled any vestige of the rule of law: he has incarcerated opposition leaders, banned political parties, stripped the popularly-elected National Assembly of its powers, and coerced voters.  In addition, the Maduro regime has now put in place a powerful and effective mechanism for securing favorable electoral outcomes: the manipulation of hunger as a means to condition voting preferences.

In a new study for the Wilson Center, Latin American Program Global Fellow Michael Penfold analyzes in detail the positioning of polling stations next to booths where people have to renew their chip-embedded “Fatherland Card” (Carnet de la Patria), used by the government to allot subsidized bags of food. This electronic card is linked in real time to big data related to an individual’s access to social security, public housing, public employment, health services, and direct cash transfers. It therefore has tremendous value for those dependent on these state benefits.  Penfold also examines the likelihood that this new electoral and authoritarian technology will hinder future opposition victories.

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About the Author

Michael Penfold

Michael Penfold

Fellow;
Professor of Political Science at the Instituto de Estudios Superiores de Administración (IESA), Business and Public Policy School, Venezuela
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Latin American Program

The Wilson Center’s prestigious Latin American Program provides non-partisan expertise to a broad community of decision makers in the United States and Latin America on critical policy issues facing the Hemisphere. The Program provides insightful and actionable research for policymakers, private sector leaders, journalists, and public intellectuals in the United States and Latin America. To bridge the gap between scholarship and policy action, it fosters new inquiry, sponsors high-level public and private meetings among multiple stakeholders, and explores policy options to improve outcomes for citizens throughout the Americas. Drawing on the Wilson Center’s strength as the nation’s key non-partisan forum, the Program serves as a trusted source of analysis and a vital point of contact between the worlds of scholarship and action.  Read more

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