The West failed to predict the emergence of al-Qaeda in new forms across the Middle East and North Africa. It was blindsided by the ISIS sweep across Syria and Iraq, which at least temporarily changed the map of the Middle East. Both movements have skillfully continued to evolve and proliferate—and surprise. What’s next? Twenty experts from think tanks and universities across the United States explore the world’s deadliest movements, their strategies, the future scenarios, and policy considerations. This report reflects their analysis and diverse views.

(Book Cover image: ©Zabelin/iStock)


The Jihadi Threat 1: The Future of Extremism

The Jihadi Threat 2: Whither the Islamic State?

The Jihadi Threat 3: Whither al-Qaeda?

The Jihadi Threat 4: Whither Jabhat Fateh al-Sham?

The Jihadi Threat 5: Drivers of Extremism

The Jihadi Threat 6: Policy Considerations