"But Guzmán's peaceful arrest...is just the first event in a chain reactino that is now in motion. In addition to the questions surrounding his trial, incarceration, and possible extradition to the United States, many are asking what this means for the Sinaloa Cartel, for the business of moving drugs to the United States, for the standing of the Mexican government, and most importantly, for public security in Mexico."

Cynthia J. Arnson, Director of the Latin American Program, co-authored this op-ed with Mexico Institute Director Duncan Wood on the effects of the arrest of Joaquin 'El Chapo' Guzmán. In the op-ed, they address the questions listed in the above quote. Overall, Arnson and Wood argue that the capture of El Chapo will, in itself, not seriously challenge the Sinaloa Cartel's operational capacity. They recommend that if the Mexican government wants to disrupt the organization's activities, then they need to carry out a sustained assault on the cartel. However, according to Arnson and Wood, the capture was signficant in establishing the credibility of Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto's security and organized crime strategy.

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